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Lucky
Lester was 8-6 with his picks last week making
him 40-30-4 on the year. Super Picks were once
again not even playoff material at 1-3. Lowlight
of the week was Grandma's favorites, the Seattle Seahawks,
blowing a 27-10 lead with five minutes left
in the game. She was up and dancing for hours but
watched the ending with horror and disbelief. It proved
too much and her mind snapped and she began repeating,
"What's left for me… the CFL!" She
is in a very expensive HOME now. The good news is
that they have a TV there so she can watch her precious
CFL while I get ready for a dazzling week six in the
NFL!
My Super Picks sure have sucked lately so this week
I'm just picking the games:
Lucky
Lester's Picks For Week Six
49ers
@ Jets (+10) - Okay, unfortunately for the
Niners, I think the best of their season is behind
them. After pulling one out last week, I see the Jets
blowing up in the Niners face this week. Chad Pennington
can lead his team to victory and will dominate a Niner's
defense who's best player is injured, (Julian Peterson),
and tired because of the lack of offensive firepower.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Seahawks
(+4) @ Patriots - The Patriots pulled off another
win last week against a very sub par Miami squad.
The Hawks lost an overtime game where they gave up
two touchdowns in the final 5 minutes of regulation
time to allow the Rams back in it. So it would seem
that I would take the seemingly unbeatable Patriots
here right? Wrong. The Patriots can't stop the run
and the Seahawks are best when running comes easy,
setting up Hasselbeck. They're getting four points,
but I see the Hawks doing the unthinkable here and
halting the Pat's right before their 20th straight
win.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Panthers
(+9) @ Eagles - While the Eagles are tough, and
possibly one of the best teams in the league, it's
hard to go against the theme that has me making money.
Every week I've taken the Panthers as underdogs they've
done me proud. This week they are nine point dogs,
and that is too big to pass up. You'd think the eagles
were playing the Niner's with that kind of spread.
Sure, the Panthers are banged up, but they have a
ton of heart, and love to be underdogs, so I see them
giving the Eagles a ride here, and maybe even coming
out victorious. Stephen Davis is back, and that alone
should get the Panthers within the spread. Game
Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Bengals
(+3) @ Browns - It's a no brainer for me. I bet
against the poor Browns every week and this week they
are giving points to a better team in the Bengals.
Carson Palmer had a week to think about this one,
and in only his first season he needed it and will
show how much it helped. The Browns are a soft offense
with a good defense. Take the points.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Packers
@ Lions (+2) - I've got to take the Lions here.
They are good and way better then the odds makers
has made them. The Lions have played tough all year.
Favre is customarily poor in domes, and the packers
are terrible this year. After a big win in week one,
they have yet to grab number two. It's hard to imagine
the Packers losing five straight, but not that hard.
The Lions are getting points at home where they are
at their best. The Packers are giving points in a
dome where they are at there worst, and this year,
that's pretty bad. My money is on the Lions here.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Redskins
(even) @ Bears - I see Clinton Portis bouncing
back this week after sub par performances in his last
few outings. The Bears are without their starting
quarterback, who was average at best, so I can't see
their offense moving down the field. Lavar Arrington
might be back and give the Redskins the boost they
need to get another win this week. Take the Skins
in this snooze fest. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00
ET
Texans
(+6.5) @ Titans - The Titans rolled over a road
kill Packer team last week in Green Bay, and any other
year I'd be impressed. But they aren't the first team
to do it this year. The Texans fought one of the league's
toughest teams all the way into overtime last week,
only to come out losers in the end. Don't let their
record trick you, they are a good team. David Carr
has proven to me that he is a damn good football player
and will always give his team a chance to stay in
it. This will be a high scoring affair, but look for
the Texans to get closer then 6, if not win the game
outright in Tennessee.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Chargers
@ Falcons (-4.5) - As you know, I hate taking
the Falcons when they are favored by any more than
three, and in this situation, with the Chargers beating
some good teams, it might look weird that I'm taking
Atlanta here. But, you've got to see it my way. The
Chargers are not as good as their record indicates,
and Mike Vick has to be better then his numbers would
tell you. He'll be up to his old tricks in Atlanta
on Sunday. He will be feeding the ball to Peerless
Price, who finally caught some balls last week. Vick
will finally show us the real Charger team, which
will likely begin the slide we had all expected from
San Diego since day one. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00
ET
Chiefs
@ Jaguars (+2) - Hmmmmm... take the Chiefs
in Jacksonville against a team that specializes in
stopping the run and will be on their toes against
the best back in the league, or, take the Jaguars
who just got trounced by San Diego? This is tougher
than I thought it would be. But, the Jaguars are getting
two points at home, and the Chiefs are 1-3... it's
still too tough. Okay, two weeks in a row, the Jag's
D has given up a 100 yard rusher, even though last
week the back who got 100 yards did it all on one
run, they still gave up a hundred. So, on that note,
I think they are motivated to halt The Priest, and
lead their team to victory over Kansas City. Oh, did
I mention the Chiefs' defense is hideous? Absolutely
terrible. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Steelers
(+3) @ Cowboys - The Cowboys overachieved last
year, has anybody noticed that? Then why are they
still getting odds like they are an 11 win team? The
Steelers, on the other hand, have been wonderful this
year with rookie star Ben Roethlisberger coming out
and giving them a lift in Tommy Maddox's absence.
Duce Staley is showing us that he still has it, and
the receiving corps in Pittsburgh is finally playing
like they should be. Their D is solid too. The Boys
under star coach Bill Parcels are finally playing
down to their talent level and Keyshawn is showing
everyone why he was not so loved in Tampa Bay. Eddie
George hasn't done much, but it's not his fault...
the team just isn't that good. Game Date: 10/17/04
16:15 ET
Bronco's
(-2) @ Raiders - I just can't bet on the Raiders
here. I don't know why, but they just don't look like
a team that's going to take down Denver. I don't think
Denver is as good as their record, and usually love
to bet against them, so lets just say this is a gut
feeling. With Jerry Rice looking to be traded, the
team can't be in a loving mood. They will play like
a team with questions on Sunday. Look for the Bronco's
to beat Oakland here.
Game Date: 10/17/04 16:15 ET
Minnesota
(-3.5) @ Saints - Are you kidding. Once again,
the odds makers have to be up to something here. I'd
still take the Vikings if they were 7 point favorites
against a terrible New Orleans squad. Brooks might
step up to his talent level and play well on Sunday,
but I wouldn't bet on it. The Vikings beat a tough
Houston team in Houston last week, and they will be
up for this game in New Orleans. Randy Moss will be
looking to get this thing over quickly so he and Daunte
Culpepper can go Mardi Gras after the game. Beads
are good for everybody, so I'm betting my whole collection
here.
Game Date: 10/17/04 20:35 ET
Buccaneers
(+6) @ Rams - Last week, against Seattle was a
fluke, and the Rams still are suddenly old. I see
an interception fest happening here, and the Tampa
Bay D scoring a couple touchdowns. The Buc's, without
a solid offense, will manage to keep it close. The
6-point spread is too large for me to go with St Louis.
Game
Date: 10/18/04 21:05 ET
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Luck with your NFL Football Wagering!
Lucky Lester
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